{"id":2474,"date":"2024-07-04T21:05:54","date_gmt":"2024-07-04T19:05:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aosforex.com\/?p=2474"},"modified":"2024-10-10T21:47:45","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T19:47:45","slug":"trading-a-percento-uspesnosti-cast-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/?p=2474","title":{"rendered":"Trading a percento \u00faspe\u0161nosti \u010das\u0165 2."},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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V minulom \u010dl\u00e1nku (\u010das\u0165 1<\/a>) som sa pustil do \u00favahy a h\u013eadania odpovede na ot\u00e1zku- „Pre\u010do je tak m\u00e1lo \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fdch na burze…?“ V pokra\u010dovan\u00ed tejto s\u00e9rie by som sa chcel teraz venova\u0165 skupine, ktor\u00e1 pod\u013ea m\u0148a ako jedin\u00e1 m\u00e1 \u0161ancu uspie\u0165 a zaradi\u0165 sa k potencion\u00e1lne \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fdm. Ako vid\u00edte v\u0161etko p\u00ed\u0161em v podmie\u0148ovacom m\u00f3de, lebo v obchodovan\u00ed na burze nemus\u00ed sta\u010di\u0165 ani to, \u017ee ste skuto\u010dne tvrd\u00fd a vytrval\u00fd „bojovn\u00edk“.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Len pripomeniem, \u017ee minule som nazna\u010dil, \u017ee existuje ve\u013ek\u00e1 skupina obchodn\u00edkov, ktor\u00fdch pr\u00edstup k trhom a problematike obchodovania na burze privedie rovno do stredu Gaussovej krivky a oni pomerne r\u00fdchlo pr\u00eddu o v\u0161etko, s \u010d\u00edm zaklopali na „dvere“ u brokera. Pr\u00eddu o sny, peniaze a d\u00f4veru v trhy a odnes\u00fa si za to v\u0161etko iba frustr\u00e1ciu a pocit, \u017ee ich niekto „dostal“. Nazna\u010dil som, \u017ee m\u00f4j odhad je niekde okolo 70-80%. Medzit\u00fdm som narazil na „ofici\u00e1lne“ \u010d\u00edsla agent\u00fary ESMA za rok 2023 a t\u00e1 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee to je 74-89%.  <\/p>\n

Teraz sa pok\u00fasim n\u00e1js\u0165 odpove\u010f na to, kto s\u00fa t\u00ed, ktor\u00ed pre\u017eij\u00fa prvotn\u00fd n\u00e1raz s r\u00fatiacim sa n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm vlakom s n\u00e1zvom „Burza“.  Teda pod\u013ea m\u00f4jho vn\u00edmania burzov\u00e9ho prostredia- „Bojovn\u00edci“. T\u00fdch by malo by\u0165 zhruba okolo 25%.<\/p>\n

Bojovn\u00edci s\u00fa bud\u00faci obchodn\u00edci, ktor\u00ed maj\u00fa ur\u010dit\u00e9 predispoz\u00edcie, ktor\u00e9 im d\u00e1vaj\u00fa \u0161ancu potencion\u00e1lne pre\u017ei\u0165. S\u00fa to \u013eudia, ktor\u00ed v prvom rade nie s\u00fa gambleri. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nemaj\u00fa sklony podlieha\u0165 hazardu a uvedomuj\u00fa si nebezpe\u010dnos\u0165 burzov\u00e9ho prostredia. Hne\u010f od za\u010diatku ch\u00e1pu p\u00e1kov\u00fd efekt a vedia, \u017ee pre nich znamen\u00e1 nielen v\u00fdhodu, ale aj potencion\u00e1lne ve\u013ek\u00e9 nebezpe\u010denstvo. Ne\u017e sa pustia do nafundovania re\u00e1lneho \u00fa\u010dtu str\u00e1via p\u00e1r mesiacov na demo \u00fa\u010dte, kde si platformu postupne overia a vysk\u00fa\u0161aj\u00fa.<\/p>\n

S\u00fa viac, \u010di menej metodick\u00ed a maj\u00fa sklony pomerne ve\u013ea \u0161tudova\u0165, \u010d\u00edta\u0165, r\u00e1ta\u0165 a racion\u00e1lne rozm\u00fd\u0161\u013ea\u0165, s\u00fa trpezliv\u00ed (aspo\u0148 mierne nadpriemerne). Maj\u00fa schopnos\u0165  (ekonomick\u00fa i \u013eudsk\u00fa) u\u0161etri\u0165 peniaze a vedia si ich udr\u017ea\u0165. Nepodliehaj\u00fa davov\u00fdm podnetom, respekt\u00edve nie \u00faplne.  Nehovor\u00edm, \u017ee ak m\u00e1 \u010dlovek tieto predispoz\u00edcie, bude z neho \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fd obchodn\u00edk, no jeho \u0161ance s\u00fa ur\u010dite v\u00fdrazne v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie. Ak v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu z t\u00fdchto vlastnost\u00ed nem\u00e1te, stav\u00edm 1:5, \u017ee neuspejete.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edm viac sa tak\u00fdto „bojovn\u00edk“ o burze dozvie, t\u00fdm viac si uvedomuje, \u017ee to nebude a\u017e tak\u00e9 \u013eahk\u00e9. V knih\u00e1ch, alebo na nete si n\u00e1jde p\u00e1r obchodn\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov a za\u010dne ich testova\u0165 (t\u00ed trpezlivej\u0161\u00ed), alebo rovno obchodova\u0165 na demo \u00fa\u010dtoch (t\u00fdchto druh\u00fdch je ur\u010dite viac). Dovol\u00edm si odhadn\u00fa\u0165, \u017ee asi 80% z bojovn\u00edkov ide na demo \u00fa\u010det po \u017eiadnom, alebo minim\u00e1lnom backtestovan\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee d\u00f4jde k zlikvidovaniu viacer\u00fdch demo \u00fa\u010dtov. Nie\u010do ide na vrub ch\u00fdb ovl\u00e1dania platformy, ale sk\u00f4r \u010di nesk\u00f4r sa uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee 98% v\u0161etk\u00fdch obchodn\u00edkov nie je  schopn\u00fdch ani po pomerne dlhom \u010dase obchodova\u0165 \u017eiaden obchodn\u00fd syst\u00e9m, respekt\u00edve, \u017ee obchoduje bez toho, \u017ee by vlastne tu\u0161ili, \u010di OS maj\u00fa.<\/p>\n

Doch\u00e1dza ku kritick\u00e9mu okamihu v ich obchodnej kari\u00e9re. Napriek ne\u00faspechom na sk\u00fa\u0161obn\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dtoch zv\u00e1\u017eia re\u00e1lne obchodovanie a rozhodn\u00fa sa ho sk\u00fasi\u0165. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Bez (pravdepodobne) robustn\u00e9ho a na demo \u00fa\u010dte overen\u00e9ho OS nafunduj\u00fa men\u0161\u00ed re\u00e1lny \u00fa\u010det. Urobia to pod vplyvom „r\u00e1d“ z kn\u00edh a internetu. „Demo V\u00e1m ni\u010d ned\u00e1, prav\u00e9 em\u00f3cie za\u017eijete iba na re\u00e1lnom \u00fa\u010dte!“.<\/p>

A tak za\u010dn\u00fa opatrne obchodova\u0165 na re\u00e1le. Bez funk\u010dn\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu to naozaj nejde a oni naviac po prv\u00fd kr\u00e1t pochopia, \u010do s\u00fa to skuto\u010dn\u00e9 em\u00f3cie spojen\u00e9 s obchodovan\u00edm. Psychol\u00f3gia obchodovania pred nimi otvor\u00ed \u00faplne nov\u00fd svet a oni si uvedomia, \u017ee vlastne ni\u010d nevedia-\u00a0 o sebe, o trhoch.<\/p>

Prv\u00fd kr\u00e1t bud\u00fa skuto\u010dne tvrdo konfrontovan\u00ed s t\u00fdm, \u017ee v\u0161etko na \u010dom posledn\u00fdch p\u00e1r mesiacov (zv\u00e4\u010d\u0161a to u\u017e je nie\u010do okolo 6-9 mesiacov) pracovali, bola mo\u017eno iba strata \u010dasu. Ich \u00fa\u010det u brokera bude u\u017e pravdepodobne minulos\u0165ou, alebo utrp\u00ed aspo\u0148 v\u00fdrazn\u00fa stratu.\u00a0<\/p>

Je prirodzen\u00e9, \u017ee tak\u00e1to emocion\u00e1lna boles\u0165 zasiahne ka\u017ed\u00e9ho. Zv\u00e4\u010d\u0161a to vedie k tomu, \u017ee si tak\u00fdto „zlomen\u00fd“ \u010dlovek d\u00e1 na p\u00e1r dn\u00ed, t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov, mesiacov od trhov oddych. Nie je na tom ni\u010d zl\u00e9 a je potrebn\u00e9 ne\u00faspech absorbova\u0165.\u00a0<\/p>

U „bojovn\u00edkov“ v\u0161ak ur\u010dit\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 mozgu neprestane nad trhmi rozm\u00fd\u0161\u013ea\u0165. A to je presne t\u00e1 d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1 d\u00e1vka energie, ktor\u00e1 po kr\u00e1tkom odpo\u010dinku (rekonvalescenci\u00ed)\u00a0 na\u0161tartuje aktivity, ktor\u00e9 prived\u00fa „odd\u00fdchnut\u00e9ho“ \u010dloveka sp\u00e4\u0165 k trhom.\u00a0<\/p>

Rozhodne sa bojova\u0165! Ide\u00e1lne by to malo by\u0165 hlavne z toho d\u00f4vodu, \u017ee si uvedomuje v\u00fdhody potencion\u00e1lneho \u00faspechu na burze z dlhodobej perspekt\u00edvy. Nemalo by to by\u0165 preto, \u017ee sa chce trhom, burze, brokerovi => pomsti\u0165. Toto nie je t\u00e1 najlep\u0161ia motiv\u00e1cia. K trhom treba pristupova\u0165 s pokojom a pokorou.\u00a0<\/p>

Op\u00e4\u0165 sa vr\u00e1ti tam, kde bol pred \u010dasom. A ak je metodick\u00fd, pok\u00fasi sa pochopi\u0165, kde a pre\u010do urobil v minulosti chyby. Pou\u010d\u00ed sa z nich a za\u010dne pracova\u0165 e\u0161te tvrd\u0161ie a svedomitej\u0161ie. V ide\u00e1lnom pr\u00edpade na z\u00e1klade pl\u00e1nu a obchodn\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>

Nane\u0161\u0165astie. Ani toto e\u0161te asi nebude sta\u010di\u0165. Pravdepodobne si hore uveden\u00fa apokalypsu emocion\u00e1lneho utrpenia prejde viackr\u00e1t. Je d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 vedie\u0165, \u017ee sa to st\u00e1va, \u017ee v tom nie ste sami. Ale ako to pre\u017ei\u0165?\u00a0<\/p>

Dovol\u00edm si tvrdi\u0165, \u017ee h\u013eadanie cesty k \u00faspechu nakoniec preriedi rady bojovn\u00edkov asi o 80%. Mnoh\u00ed to proste nevydr\u017eia. Odpadn\u00fa z cesty z r\u00f4znych d\u00f4vodov. D\u00f4jdu peniaze, \u010das, chu\u0165, motiv\u00e1cia, uvedomenie a priznanie si toho, \u017ee na to pr\u00edpadne proste nemaj\u00fa. Jednoducho nastane \u00fanava materi\u00e1lu. Cel\u00e9 to toti\u017e pokojne m\u00f4\u017ee trva\u0165 aj nieko\u013eko rokov. Ne\u017eartujem.<\/p>

Ak to teda zoberieme s nadh\u013eadom, stratili sme 74-86% v plankt\u00f3ne a teraz sme pri\u0161li o cca \u010fal\u0161\u00edch 80% bojovn\u00edkov, \u010do predstavuje asi \u010fal\u0161\u00edch 20-11%. Stratovos\u0165 u\u017e je teda niekde okolo 94-97% z p\u00f4vodnej skupiny z\u00e1ujemcov.<\/p>

Ak sa V\u00e1m podar\u00ed d\u00f4js\u0165 a\u017e sem a pre\u017ei\u0165, Va\u0161e \u0161ance za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00fa pomerne zauj\u00edmavo st\u00fapa\u0165. Dostanete sa do skupiny, ktor\u00fa som pre seba nazval „\u010dakatelia“. I ke\u010f sa to vzh\u013eadom na \u00famrtnos\u0165 syst\u00e9mu nemus\u00ed zda\u0165 pravdou, verte, \u017ee ani \u010dakatelia to nemaj\u00fa e\u0161te ist\u00e9 a stoja pred \u010fal\u0161\u00edm kolom v\u00fdberov\u00e9ho konania. Medzi \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fdch sa ich nakoniec dostane iba zop\u00e1r. O tom zasa ale a\u017e v bud\u00facom \u010dl\u00e1nku.\u00a0<\/p>

Predch\u00e1dzaj\u00faca \u010das\u0165\u00a0<\/a> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u010eal\u0161ia \u010das\u0165<\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V minulom \u010dl\u00e1nku (\u010das\u0165 1) som sa pustil do \u00favahy a h\u013eadania odpovede na ot\u00e1zku- „Pre\u010do je tak m\u00e1lo \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fdch na burze…?“ V pokra\u010dovan\u00ed tejto s\u00e9rie by som sa chcel teraz venova\u0165 skupine, ktor\u00e1 pod\u013ea m\u0148a ako jedin\u00e1 m\u00e1 \u0161ancu uspie\u0165 a zaradi\u0165 sa k potencion\u00e1lne \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fdm. Ako vid\u00edte v\u0161etko p\u00ed\u0161em v podmie\u0148ovacom m\u00f3de, lebo … \u010c\u00edta\u0165 viac<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2474"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2496,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2474\/revisions\/2496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}