{"id":1697,"date":"2024-02-03T14:28:29","date_gmt":"2024-02-03T13:28:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aosforex.com\/?p=1697"},"modified":"2024-03-24T14:45:04","modified_gmt":"2024-03-24T13:45:04","slug":"rozlozeni-pravdepodobnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/?p=1697","title":{"rendered":"Rozlo\u017een\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1697\" class=\"elementor elementor-1697\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-668d170 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"668d170\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dfce529 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"dfce529\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"820\" height=\"423\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Gauss_1.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-1714\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Gauss_1.png 820w, https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Gauss_1-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Gauss_1-768x396.png 768w, https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Gauss_1-600x310.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9af7de0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9af7de0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530_inner_0\" class=\"wnd-align-justify\" data-wnd_is_separable=\"1\" data-wnd_separable_index=\"0\" data-wnd_separable_id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530\">P\u0159i hled\u00e1n\u00ed statistick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody s v\u00fdhodou pou\u017eijeme teorii rozlo\u017een\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti. Zn\u00e1me ji v\u0161ichni jako Gausovu k\u0159ivku. V \u00favodn\u00edm obr\u00e1zku je zn\u00e1zorn\u011bn p\u0159\u00edklad hled\u00e1n\u00ed statistick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody v cenov\u00e9m grafu.<\/p><p id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530_inner_1\" class=\"wnd-align-justify\" data-wnd_is_separable=\"1\" data-wnd_separable_index=\"1\" data-wnd_separable_id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530\">Vezm\u011bme si souvisl\u00fd pohyb ceny, kter\u00fd naz\u00fdv\u00e1me impulz. Po ka\u017ed\u00e9m impulzu n\u00e1sleduje typicky alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1vrat (retracement nebo tak\u00e9 pullback). V historii grafu hled\u00e1me impulzy a na vodorovnou osu vyn\u00e1\u0161\u00edme velikost impulzu nap\u0159\u00edklad v bodech. Na svislou osu pak vyn\u00e1\u0161\u00edme po\u010det n\u00e1vrat\u016f o velikosti nap\u0159\u00edklad 30% velikosti impulzu.<\/p><p id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530_inner_2\" class=\"wnd-align-justify\" data-wnd_is_separable=\"1\" data-wnd_separable_index=\"2\" data-wnd_separable_id=\"wnd_TextBlock_362648530\">V\u00fdsledkem takov\u00e9ho zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed bude typick\u00e1 Gausova k\u0159ivka nap\u0159\u00edklad pro n\u00e1vraty 30% nebo 50% impulzu. P\u0159\u00edklad podle obr\u00e1zku n\u00e1m ukazuje na statistickou v\u00fdhodu. Budeme-li v grafu zji\u0161\u0165ovat impulzy o velikosti cca 120 bod\u016f a budeme-li spekulovat na n\u00e1vraty alespo\u0148 30%, m\u00e1me v\u00fdraznou statistickou v\u00fdhodu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ce58226 elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"ce58226\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/aosforex.com\/?page_id=1689\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159i hled\u00e1n\u00ed statistick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody s v\u00fdhodou pou\u017eijeme teorii rozlo\u017een\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti. Zn\u00e1me ji v\u0161ichni jako Gausovu k\u0159ivku. V \u00favodn\u00edm obr\u00e1zku je zn\u00e1zorn\u011bn p\u0159\u00edklad hled\u00e1n\u00ed statistick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody v cenov\u00e9m grafu. Vezm\u011bme si souvisl\u00fd pohyb ceny, kter\u00fd naz\u00fdv\u00e1me impulz. Po ka\u017ed\u00e9m impulzu n\u00e1sleduje typicky alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1vrat (retracement nebo tak\u00e9 pullback). V historii grafu hled\u00e1me impulzy a na &#8230; <a title=\"Rozlo\u017een\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/?p=1697\" aria-label=\"Pre\u010d\u00edtajte si viac o Rozlo\u017een\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti\">\u010c\u00edta\u0165 viac<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technicka-analyza-vzdelavanie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1697"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1697\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1717,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1697\/revisions\/1717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aosforex.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}